Showing posts with label The Heartbeat Molester..an update analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Heartbeat Molester..an update analysis. Show all posts

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Update & further analysis on The Heartbeat Molester

From various online sources, here are more background info and details of the latest crimes committed by this 'garang' monster.



[ Internet free source image ]

Apparently he was first noticed in 1999. This does not mean that he only started on his predatory spree that very year. It could very well be much earlier. I do not have the statistics for percentage of molest cases reported to the police in Singapore ..versus those who didn't. But in the USA, it is generally accepted that only 1 - 10 % of child molest incidents are reported.
That means the vast majority ( 90% or more ) are never reported.

The reason for this is obvious.
The young victim is traumatised and possibly cannot recall much about the culprit...especially if it is someone who is a complete stranger.
Fear overwhelms the young victims and their memory suffers.
Family members also do not want them to be further questioned by all kinds of law officers.
The fear of great distress, helplessness and embarassment, if they were to report the incident, often outweighs the almost impossible faint hope of catching the culprit.
The most critical factor is the young age of the victims.

What about in Singapore?
If we extrapolate from this scenario and apply it to our case of the Heartbeat molester...it may mean that he may not have 20 victims as reported but the number could be more than a hundred easily! Some of his unreported victims may even hold some important clues to tracing his identity. For example, does he not carry a handphone? If he did and if he had used it to film his young victims...and the victims told their parents..some parents will rather just hushed up and not pursue any further.
But if he did , such info given to the police is certainly valuable.

The latest incidents as reported:
1. On 26 August 2010, he molested a 11 year old girl at Punggol.
Time: 2.15 pm

2. On 30 September 2010, he molested another 11 year old girl at Hougang.
Time: 2 pm

3. On 8 October 2010, he molested a 9 year old girl at Anchorvale, Sengkang.
Time: 3 pm



Unk Dicko's Analysis of the Info:

Notice the timespan between attacks. It may be less if there are unreported
cases as can be assumed from statistics. Anyway, that's still conjecture at this stage. Let's look at the hard facts.
August 26 is a Thursday
September 30 is a Thursday
October 8 is a Friday


So two Thursdays and one Friday...all between 2 pm - 3 pm.
Could this mean he is not as free on the other days? Why?
Why is he so free on these 2 days and at those times? Off duty, assuming he's working?
If he's working and has colleagues someone will sooner or later recognise him and put 2 and 2
together.
But if he's working for no one like driving his own cab...that's different.
According to the reports, this monster was featured in Crimewatch programme in 2003 which exposed his M O. He has been lying low for nearly 7 years before resuming his attacks recently.
What happened in that 7 years? Assuming he did not attack anyone, we need to ask WHY?
Fear? For 7 long years? And now very "garang" and brave again?
Maybe he went overseas to work?
If he did it would explain his so-called "lying low" for 7 years.
If that be the case, could he be a ship's crew? The police report says he is "very tanned" and fit -looking.
I think it's an angle worth looking into.